Query
Query result
0.8413
0.1587
Distribution summary
- Mean
- 0
- Variance
- 1
- Standard deviation
- 1
- Median
- 0
- Mode
- 0
- Skewness
- 0
- Kurtosis (excess)
- 0
The cut corresponds to a z-score z = (x − μ)/σ = 1 (this is what you look up in the “z table”).
0.8413
0.1587
The cut corresponds to a z-score z = (x − μ)/σ = 1 (this is what you look up in the “z table”).
It is the rule that spreads probability across the values a random variable can take. There are two main families:
Both share the cumulative function (CDF) , rising from 0 to 1 by accumulating everything to the left. Almost every query is answered through the CDF.
Normal (Gaussian) — The bell curve. Models errors and averages; foundation of the Central Limit Theorem.
Binomial — Number of successes in independent trials with probability .
Poisson — Count of rare events in a fixed interval, with mean rate .
Exponential — Waiting time until the next Poisson event (same rate ). It is memoryless: the chance of waiting longer does not depend on how long you've waited.
Gamma — Waiting time until the -th event (sum of exponentials); with shape and rate . It is the conjugate prior for the rate of a Poisson/Exponential.
Special cases: and .
Beta — Distribution of a proportion on . It is the conjugate prior for a success probability, the Bayesian basis of A/B testing.
These distributions are derived from the Normal and are used almost exclusively for Statistical Inference (hypothesis testing and confidence intervals). Instead of modeling natural phenomena, they model the behavior of statistics computed from samples.
Historically, t, and F values were looked up in book appendices. The calculator in "By probability" mode replaces these tables.
If you are running a hypothesis test at the 5% significance level for a right tail, simply select "Right Tail", input , and you'll get the exact critical value to reject .
| Confidence level | (two tails) |
|---|---|
| 90% | 1.645 |
| 95% | 1.960 |
| 98% | 2.326 |
| 99% | 2.576 |
| Dist. | Mean | Variance |
|---|---|---|
| Modeling | ||
| Normal | μ | σ² |
| Binomial | np | np(1−p) |
| Poisson | λ | λ |
| Exponential | 1/λ | 1/λ² |
| Gamma | α/β | α/β² |
| Beta | α/(α+β) | … |
| Sampling | ||
| Student's t | 0 | ν/(ν-2) |
| Chi-sq. | ν | 2ν |
| F Fisher | d₂/(d₂-2) | ... |
* Some variances and means in t and F are only defined for large degrees of freedom. In the Poisson, mean and variance coincide.